快速更新同化预报的关键技术综述

An Overview of the Key Techniques in Rapid Refresh Assimilation and Forecast

  • 摘要: 快速更新同化预报技术(简称RUC或RR)是近来针对短时临近预报应用发展的数值预报技术。回顾了国内外的发展历程及现状,介绍了关键的相关技术,主要包括:(1)绝热与非绝热数字初始化;(2)冷、暖和热启动技术与循环同化;(3)云分析技术;(4)近地面资料同化等,并阐述了快速更新同化预报技术未来的发展。

     

    Abstract: High-frequency assimilation and forecast (Rapid Update Cycle, RUC or Rapid Refresh, RR) have been developed for numerical weather prediction of short-range forecasting in recent years. In this paper, the history and status of RUC (or RR) are reviewed. Several relevant key issues are addressed, including: 1) adiabatic digital fi lter initialization (DFI) and diabatic digital fi lter initialization (DDFI); 2) cold start、warm start and hot start initialization techniques; 3) cloud analysis technique; 4) issues for assimilating nearsurface observations. Finally, the challenges, opportunities and future directions for rapid refresh systems are discussed.

     

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