雾的集合预报与集合预报的检验

Ensemble Fog Prediction and Ensemble Forecast Verification

  • 摘要: 简述了四部分内容:为什么要做雾的集合预报;雾的集合预报效果;其在目前业务数值预报中的应用情况及有待解决的问题;最后,介绍了集合预报的检验,读者可以从中体会集合预报的理念和优势。

     

    Abstract: This paper discusses the following four aspects:why do we need an ensemble approach in predicting fog? What improvements have been seen through an ensemble approach? What are the status and challenges of fog ensemble prediction in current numerical weather prediction operation? The verification of ensemble forecasts is also introduced to help readers understand and appreciate the ensemble approach.

     

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