重大工程气候可行性论证进展

史军, 温康民, 穆海振, 刘校辰

史军, 温康民, 穆海振, 刘校辰. 2016: 重大工程气候可行性论证进展. 气象科技进展, 6(6): 15-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.06.002
引用本文: 史军, 温康民, 穆海振, 刘校辰. 2016: 重大工程气候可行性论证进展. 气象科技进展, 6(6): 15-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.06.002
shu
Shi Jun, Wen Kangmin, Mu Haizhen, Liu Xiaochen. 2016: Progress of Demonstrating Feasibility of Major Projects upon Climate. Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology, 6(6): 15-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.06.002
Citation: Shi Jun, Wen Kangmin, Mu Haizhen, Liu Xiaochen. 2016: Progress of Demonstrating Feasibility of Major Projects upon Climate. Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology, 6(6): 15-21. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.06.002
shu

重大工程气候可行性论证进展

  • 1. 上海市气候中心, 上海 200030;

  • 2. 中国地质大学(武汉)环境学院, 湖北 武汉 430074

基金项目: 

中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(2012043,1212117)

国家自然科学基金(41401661,41571044)

中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF201503)

详细信息
    作者简介:

    史军(1975-),Email:shij@climate.sh.cn

Progress of Demonstrating Feasibility of Major Projects upon Climate

  • 1. Shanghai Climate Centre, Shanghai Meteorological Bureau, Shanghai 200030;

  • 2. China University of Geosciences, School of Environmental Studies, Wuhan 430074

摘要

    摘要
  • 摘要: 论述了重大工程开展气候可行性论证的必要性及意义，分析了当前我国重大工程气候可行性论证在技术、业务和服务方面的进展及存在的问题和解决问题的思路措施，指出了重大工程气候可行性论证关键技术，包括对极端天气气候事件变化的未来预估、对工程与环境间相互影响的数值模拟、对多源立体气候环境信息的综合探测、对灾害影响和致灾风险的动态评估，以及对区域代表性气象参数的实时更新，以期为我国重大工程项目气候可行性论证提供借鉴。
    Abstract: This paper discusses the necessity and signif i cance of demonstrating feasibility of major project upon climate, analyzes the progresses and current problems; suggests some ideas and measures to solve these problems in technology, business and service for major projects in China; points out the key technologies, which include the project feasibility on the future extreme weather and climate events, the numerical simulation of the interaction between the major projects and surrounding environment, the comprehensive detection of multi-source and three-dimensional climate information, the dynamic assessment of disaster inf l uence process and risk, the improvement of regional representative and real-time update of meteorological parameters. It offers future references for demonstrating feasibility of major projects upon climate in China.
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