我国流域水文气象业务进展回顾与展望

The Review and Outlook on the Development of Basin Hydrometeorological Applications and Services in China

  • 摘要: 水文气象自20世纪30年代开始至今已有近百年的发展历程,回顾了我国流域水文气象业务围绕提高预报精度和延长洪水预见期,在定量降水监测及估算、基于雷达外推和数值模式的定量降水预报、延伸期及气候旱涝趋势预测等的气象监测预报,洪水预报方法和水文气象耦合预报等领域所取得的研究进展及其应用服务开展情况,并对云计算、大数据处理和数据挖掘、机器智能学习等信息新技术在未来行业数据的汇集共享、气象预报与洪水预报集成耦合、水旱灾害的智能化监测预警及雨洪资源应用气象辅助决策平台等领域的应用前景进行了展望。

     

    Abstract: As an intersection of hydrology and meteorology, hydrometeorology has had a history of nearly 100 years. Mainly focusing on high accuracy flood forecasting and forecasting long periods, the developing course of basin hydrometeorological applications and services in China is reviewed, including quantitative precipitation estimation, quantitative precipitation forecasting, extension and climate drought forecasting, other meteorological monitoring and forecasting technology, flood forecasting methods, and hydrological and meteorological forecast coupling technology. With the development of the social economy and improvements in science and technology, future developments of hydrometeorological applications and services will continue. They are needed to satisfy the demand for intelligent monitoring and early warning of rain and flood resources using meteorological decision platforms. New technology will be needed to carry out data collection and sharing research, weather and flood forecasting coupling, and construction after flood and drought disasters.

     

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