2019年5月影响三亚的一次雷雨大风过程分析

Analysis of a Thunderstorm Affected Sanya in May 2019

  • 摘要: 利用常规观测资料、自动站资料、三亚雷达资料、NCEP再分析数据和GFS预报场数据对2019年5月9日影响三亚的一次雷雨大风天气过程进行分析,得到如下结论:高空干冷槽与低层西南暖湿空气配合,三亚东部陆地的东北风与西南弱海风形成的中尺度地面辐合线,为本次过程提供良好的水汽、热力不稳定、动力抬升和触发条件。中尺度对流辐合线的发展与合并是整个对流维持的关键,对流后侧大风入流和前侧零散弱回波线,为雷雨大风的发生提供较好的预警。海南岛西南部海上生成的强对流带移向海南岛时伴随着向东北方向倾斜的下沉气流,该气流下沉到达近地面后向两侧涌升,涌升气流与背景风辐合促进了中尺度对流加强。强对流带经过三亚前后,三亚区域近地面出现西南风向东北风的转变,低层垂直风切变和涡度增加,有利于对流进一步发展加强。风廓线雷达对中尺度对流辐合线内部风场有较好的指示作用。

     

    Abstract: Using conventional observation data, automatic station data, Sanya radar data, NCEP reanalysis data and GFS forecast data, we analyzed a thunderstorm that affected Sanya on 9 May 2019.The results show that the upper dry cooling trough and the lower southwest warm and humid air, a mesoscale convergence line formed by the northeast land breeze and the weak southwest sea wind provide good conditions for the process of water vapor, thermal instability, dynamic uplift and triggering.The development and merging of mesoscale convective organization are the key to the maintenance of convection.Strong wind inflow behind convection and scattered weak echo line in front can provide a good early warning for the occurrence of thunderstorm and gale.

     

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