中国西南山地突发性暴雨特征与机理研究的新进展

New Research Progress on Characteristics and Mechanism of Sudden Rainstorm in Southwest China

  • 摘要: 我国西南多山地且地形十分复杂,山地突发性暴雨及其诱发山洪地质灾害是我国西南山地灾害的主要类型。当前我国西南山地突发性暴雨预报水平不高、能力不足的一个重要原因就是未能有效考虑山地对暴雨及其突发性的影响,缺乏山地突发性暴雨形成与发展的理论指导。对于国家重点研发计划项目支持下开展的山地突发性暴雨特征与机理研究所取得的重要进展进行了阶段性总结,综述了我国西南特别是西南山地突发性暴雨及相关中尺度对流系统的基本特征和环境条件,山地突发性暴雨的多尺度、多层次影响系统的协同作用,地形引起的爬流和绕流对于山地突发性暴雨的不同作用,惯性重力内波与对流耦合作用触发山地突发性暴雨的一种可能机理,以及双低空急流对山地突发性暴雨的综合效应。最后对未来仍需深入开展的研究方向和切入点做了剖析和展望。

     

    Abstract: Mountainous areas in Southwest China are very complicated.The sudden rainstorm and its induced flash flood are the main types of mountain disasters in Western China.At present, one of the important reasons for the low forecast level and insufficient ability of sudden rainstorm in Western China is that the influence of mountain on rainstorm and its outburst is not considered effectively, and the guidance of formation and development theory of mountain sudden rainstorm is lacking.This paper summarizes the important progress in the research on the characteristics and mechanism of mountain torrential rain, which was rarely seen in the past, under the support of the national key R & D program.The basic characteristics and environmental conditions of mountain sudden rainstorm and related mesoscale convective system in Western China, especially in Southwest China, and the multi-scale and multi-level influence system of mountain sudden rainstorm are discussed.The results show that there are different effects of creeping flow and circumfluence caused by topography on sudden rainstorm in mountainous area, the possible influence mechanism of coupling effect of inertial gravity internal wave and convection on sudden rainstorm in mountain area, and the comprehensive effect of double low-level jet stream on mountain sudden rainstorm.In the end, several research directions and breakthrough points that need to be strengthened in the future are analyzed and prospected.

     

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