热带气旋尺度与强度关联性研究进展

A Review of the Relationship between Size and Intensity of Tropical Cyclones

  • 摘要: 主要回顾了热带气旋(TC)尺度与强度相关性的统计研究,简要阐述了影响TC尺度、强度及尺度-强度关联性的内部和外部物理因子的相关研究进展。不同于以往研究仅考虑尺度或强度各自的变化,本文在回顾前人研究时将尺度-强度关联性作为主要讨论对象,这有助于深入理解TC整体风场变化背后的物理机制,为提升模式模拟能力和业务预报水平提供科学指导,并明确未来有待进一步深入的研究方向。

     

    Abstract: This study provides a comprehensive review of statistical studies on the correlation between the size and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs).It also briefly discusses the progress on the external and internal physical factors that affect TC size, intensity, and size-intensity relationship.Unlike previous studies that exclusively focused on either intensity or size, the relationship between size and intensity is highlighted when we review the previous research, which helps deepen the understanding of the underlying physical mechanisms that drive the overall wind field changes of TCs.It also provides scientific guidance for improving model simulation and operational forecasting and clarifies the future research directions that require further study.

     

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