重庆江北国际机场降雪特征统计与降水相态识别

Snowfall Characteristic Statistics and Precipitation Phase Identification at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport

  • 摘要: 利用重庆江北国际机场(简称重庆江北机场)2001—2023年的地面气象逐时观测资料和沙坪坝站探空资料等,统计了重庆江北机场降雪天气的基本特征,分析了降雪时低层气温分布特征,得到可用于识别降水相态的气温指标。结果表明:重庆江北机场平均每3.5年会有1年出现降雪天气,只有12月—次年2月会出现降雪,其中1月占比最高;从日变化来看,上午出现降雪次数最多,傍晚到夜间次数最少;降雪以雨夹雪或者雨夹雪和雪混合状态为主,持续时间多在12 h以内。31组出现降雪的个例中,把某个高度层的气温从低到高进行排序形成数据集,分别选取最高气温、90%分位和75%分位的气温作为降水相态转变的三组气温指标。经验证,90%分位的气温,即2 m、925 hPa和850 hPa三个高度层的气温分别为2.9、0.2和-4.1 ℃时,降水相态识别效果最优,在2024年的低温降水预报中全部准确判定降水相态。

     

    Abstract: Using hourly surface meteorological observation data of Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport (hereinafter referred to as Chongqing Jiangbei Airport) from 2001 to 2023 and the sounding data from Shapingba Station, the characteristics of snowfall weather at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport were statistically analyzed. At the same time, the temperature distribution characteristics in lower atmosphere during snowfall were analyzed to identify temperature indicators that can be used to determine precipitation phases. It is found that Chongqing Jiangbei Airport experiences snowfall every 3.5 years on average, and that snowfall occurs only in December, January, and February, with January accounting for the highest percentage. In terms of daily variability, snowfall occurs the most in the morning and the least from evening to night. The snowfall phase is mainly characterized by sleet or a mixture of sleet and snow, with a duration mostly within 12 h. In the 31 snowfall cases, the temperature of a certain altitude is sorted from low to high to form a dataset, and the temperatures at the maximum, 90th percentile, and 75th percentile are respectively taken as three sets of temperature indicators for the phase transition of precipitation. It has been verified that when the temperature at the 90th percentile, namely the temperatures at the 2 m, 925 hPa, and 850 hPa levels, are 2.9 ℃, 0.2 ℃, and -4.1 ℃, respectively, the identification of precipitation phase is optimal. In the low-temperature precipitation forecasts in 2024, the precipitation phase was accurately identified in all the cases.

     

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